Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.572779 0.631425 0.696210 0.773603 0.864226 0.967840 1.096523
2024-12-15 0.482772 0.569562 0.675861 0.818559 1.009908 1.265247 1.646186
2024-12-22 0.406089 0.502815 0.630611 0.818564 1.101039 1.535383 2.317259
2024-12-29 0.364911 0.470549 0.619533 0.857564 1.257023 1.969929 3.572822
2025-01-05 0.319778 0.423650 0.576785 0.836229 1.309077 2.260815 4.881792
2025-01-12 0.278238 0.375168 0.522317 0.781764 1.283048 2.387351 5.989300
2025-01-19 0.246074 0.336353 0.476579 0.731815 1.249211 2.481212 7.197513
2025-01-26 0.232347 0.323807 0.470618 0.750640 1.361272 3.009156 11.462290
2025-02-02 0.227273 0.323943 0.485243 0.810861 1.589895 4.088428 25.312519
2025-02-09 0.215347 0.311472 0.476004 0.821157 1.702925 4.933402 50.973967
2025-02-16 0.199798 0.291429 0.450608 0.792200 1.700410 5.326767 85.252796
2025-02-23 0.190162 0.280524 0.440664 0.795166 1.792135 6.318559 260.224981
2025-03-02 0.181036 0.270435 0.432453 0.804080 1.920932 7.899794 6901.708425
2025-03-09 0.172882 0.261589 0.426112 0.817871 2.083997 10.359874 NaN
2025-03-16 0.162690 0.248289 0.409534 0.803473 2.144085 12.392086 NaN
2025-03-23 0.157670 0.243916 0.410464 0.834696 2.410001 18.667231 NaN
2025-03-30 0.148528 0.231158 0.392499 0.811325 2.431685 22.064219 NaN
2025-04-06 0.137837 0.214796 0.365420 0.758029 2.290666 21.562493 NaN
2025-04-13 0.128422 0.200314 0.341267 0.709782 2.157993 20.886408 NaN
2025-04-20 0.124950 0.196819 0.340314 0.727568 2.362253 31.811101 NaN
2025-04-27 0.124459 0.198938 0.351782 0.784953 2.838909 78.181392 NaN
2025-05-04 0.120721 0.194451 0.347971 0.794723 3.057909 149.726388 NaN
2025-05-11 0.114950 0.185603 0.333388 0.767085 3.011983 185.892442 NaN